Jack Altman predicts 30-40 million US jobs could disappear in four years

So what what's your estimate for displacement?

41:55 / 42:33

odd million people working in The US. Right? So what what's your estimate for displacement? I'm just trying to get a sense of it. It depends on the time horizon, but I'm not feeling that great about it. I mean, if we look at the most obvious, which is, you know, customer support customer support, legal, bookkeeping,

that doesn't look great. If we wanna add in Waymo and what it'll do for self driving within a four year period, gosh, I think you could see 30 to 40,000,000 Take Way. Take Way. Again, Waymo's a good example. I mean, you'd look at the projections ten years ago when people talk about self driving, and you can find all the, you know, the Citrini articles of then saying it's all gonna happen in four years. It's over. Here we are today. And even though I think Waymo is amazing, they're doing $350,000,000.

About this clip

Jack Altman discusses potential AI-driven job displacement across customer support, legal, and bookkeeping roles, estimating 30-40 million jobs at risk within four years when including autonomous driving. He tempers this prediction by pointing to Waymo as an example of how revolutionary tech often takes longer to scale than initially projected.

Why this clip

A specific, provocative prediction about massive job displacement from a prominent VC that challenges listeners to consider AI's near-term economic impact.

41:55 - 42:3339sprediction

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