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11 results for “prediction markets”
Topic10 mentions across episodes
prediction markets
...prediction markets. We're seeing sports live broadcast incorporate prediction markets. We're seeing the information used in particular. A great example is the election in 2024 where the president had a very large victory, and that was not necessarily
16:14 / 17:31
from transcript16:14 – 17:31
...these prediction markets is they're just software. There's no actual market risk that's being taken. There's no balance sheet at risk. And you're just putting these odds out there into the world, and there's a central limit order book with bids and a
30:41 / 31:48
from transcript30:41 – 31:48
...prediction markets. We're seeing sports live broadcast incorporate prediction markets. We're seeing the information used in particular. A great example is the election in 2024 where the president had a very large victory, and that was not necessarily
15:40 / 16:46
from transcript15:40 – 16:46
...are essentially prediction markets. People think a company will do well or bad, but there must be some early examples of people betting on very specific social things, and it turns out there is one. There's a really good example, and it is the papal
4:26 / 5:35
from transcript4:26 – 5:35
...markets relative to the regulatory regime around it? Regulation is coming very fast and furious to prediction markets in The US. There's been a couple, like, pretty important landmark cases of Web two prediction market companies like Calshi. But I th
29:58 / 31:04
from transcript29:58 – 31:04
...be, done by prediction markets, and it's a really exciting future. Yeah. So prediction markets then become sports betting, economic markets, insurance replacements, and a way to get rid of CNBC all at once. How can you not love it? Yeah. I mean, I we
23:59 / 25:08
from transcript23:59 – 25:08
...as prediction markets become more prevalent in the world, the predictions, the actual predictions, become part of the narrative of what's happening. And I think, to Ryan's point, the twenty twenty four election was a really good example of that. The
41:13 / 42:15
from transcript41:13 – 42:15
...prediction markets with high agency as you actually go. The future is what you make it. So I think, like, the yeah. To to me, the broader lesson is the classic difference between manifold markets and poly market is that poly market is only real money
39:46 / 40:45
from transcript39:46 – 40:45
...these prediction markets, which have been very controversial over time. Controversial not only because of that murky regulatory landscape, but because of the real world implications of betting on real world events. You can look at it two ways. If you
10:22 / 11:30
from transcript10:22 – 11:30
it was 2001 that was founded in Dublin, and did take part in the 02/2012 US elections and was, known for its accuracy in those events. Here's my question, though. We have a poly market segment coming up, and I go through poly market on a daily basis
21:45 / 22:44
from transcript21:45 – 22:44
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